There were significant changes in the trends and patterns of conflict risk and lethal violence in the Niger Delta during the first quarter of 2021. There were outbreaks of additional conflict risks and an increase in reported incidents of lethal violence during the period, compared to the fourth quarter of 2020 (See page 2). According to data uploaded to the P4P Peace Map (www.tgpcloud.org/p4p/index.php?m=p4p), criminality, communal conflict and land disputes, anti-police insurgency, separatist agitations and gang violence were the major causes of lethal violence during the period.

This quarterly tracker looks at the trends and patterns of conflict risk factors and incidents of violence, and the related pressures on peace and stability at the regional, state and local levels. It is not designed as a conflict analysis, but rather it is intended to update stakeholders on patterns and trends in violence. Understanding the deeper conflict drivers, implications, and mitigating options requires a robust participatory, qualitative analysis of these trends by local stakeholders in affected communities, including women, traditional authorities, political leaders, youths, private sector actors, and others.

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